Latest Forecast: Odds of an El Niño Drop

The odds of an El Niño developing this winter have faded somewhat, further dimming hopes for a break in California’s historic drought.

Back in June, forecasters pegged the odds of an El Niño emerging by fall and winter at 80 percent. Today, a bulletin from the National Climatic Data Center reports that the long predicted El Niño has still not emerged, and that the odds of one emerging have dropped from a two in three chance last month to 58 percent now.

From the Climate Prediction Cent

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