“Historic” wind event could whip California’s Kincade blaze into a raging firestorm – ImaGeo

GOES-16 view of California's Kincade Fire

The GOES-16 weather satellite captured this view of smoke streaming out over the Pacific Ocean from California’s Kincade Fire on Oct. 24, 2019. (Source: RAMMB/CIRA/SLIDER)

Northern California is bracing for winds forecast to gust as high as 80 miles per hour on Sunday morning — posing extreme wildfire risks in an area primed to burn.

“A potentially historic, long duration, extremely critical offshore wind event is forecast to occur beginning around 8pm tonight and persist through early Monday,” according to the National Weather Service. These winds threaten what the weather service describes as “explosive fire growth potential.”

Thanks to this dire situation, a dramatic expansion of the Kincade Fire — now nearly twice the size of Manhattan — is in the offing. And any new ignitions could be whipped into new infernos.

As I’ve been writing this post on Saturday, evacuation orders have been issued for the entire towns of Healdsburg and Windsor as well as other areas, affecting 50,000 people. Winds are expected to blow the Kincade fire in that direction.

Pacific Gas and Electric has announced plans to cut power to as many as 850,000 customers across a wide swath of Northern California. The goal: lower the sparking risk from downed power lines.

Sonoma County California incident map shows the perimeter of the Kincade Fire

The incident map for Sonoma County shows the perimeter of the Kincade Fire as of Saturday, Oct. 26, 2019, plus areas under mandatory evacuation orders in pink, other areas that could soon face evacuation in blue, and the possible power shut-off area in yellow. For the latest interactive version, click on the map. (Source: California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection.)

The Kincade Fire, now at 25,455 acres and only 10 percent contained, began on Wednesday. It has since destroyed 49 residential and other structures.

“The task is monumental,” says Jonathan Cox, a spokesman for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection, quoted in the New York Times. “We are throwing as many resources as we can at it, but we also have to plan for the worst.”

More than 2,000 people are battling the Kincade Fire.

Terra satellite view shows sprawling smoke plume from California's Kincaid Fire

A view of California’s Kincaid Fire captured by NASA’s Terra satellite shows a sprawling smoke plume billowing out over the Pacific Ocean on Oct. 24, 2019. (Images: NASA Worldview. Animation: Tom Yulsman)

After it ignited on Wednesday, the blaze was whipped up quickly by strong winds. By Thursday, the smoke plume had blown more than 375 miles out over the Pacific Ocean, covering an area of approximately 30,000 square miles.

That’s a little larger than the entire State of Maine.

Animation of satellite images shows blazing Kincaid Fire in California

The Kincade Fire on October 24th, as seen by the GOES-17 weather satellite images. (Source: RAMMB/CIRA)

I started this post with a view of the Kincade Fire from the GOES-16 weather satellite. It’s sister, GOES-17, has a perspective to the west. It acquired the images that make up the animation above, also on Oct. 24th.

Please check back for updates and new remote sensing views as this dangerous situation evolves.

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